THE ALTERNATIVE
Deion Burks
WR · INDStats & schedule ›0.9FF projected
↑ +0.9 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Deion Burks or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Payne Durham
Week 7 · PPR
Payne Durham receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -3.75%).
Forecast updated · PPR
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Payne Durham
TE · TBStats & schedule ›1.1FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Deion Burks
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees-1.1 FP
Workload1.3 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.8 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF1.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.0 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Deion Burks
Fortified0.9
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyPros—
Deion Burks faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Payne Durham
Fortified1.1
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyPros—
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points.
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