RESEARCH PICK
Gavin Bartholomew
TE · MINStats & schedule ›0.7FF projected
↓ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Gavin Bartholomew or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Gavin Bartholomew
Week 7 · Standard
Gavin Bartholomew averaged 2.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Payne Durham. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Gavin Bartholomew: 1.9 versus 0.2 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs INDTHE ALTERNATIVE
Payne Durham
TE · TBStats & schedule ›0.6FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Gavin Bartholomew
FF0.7 FP
Boosted Trees1.0 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload0.5 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Gavin Bartholomew
Fortified0.7
ESPN0.8
Sleeper0.4
FantasyPros—
Gavin Bartholomew faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.7
FantasyPros—
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
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