THE ALTERNATIVE
Charlie Woerner
TE · ATLStats & schedule ›0.4FF projected
↓ -0.1 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Charlie Woerner or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Payne Durham
Week 7 · Standard
Payne Durham receives the better positional matchup adjustment (1.25% versus -10%).
Forecast updated · Standard
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Payne Durham
TE · TBStats & schedule ›0.6FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Woerner
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload0.6 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.4 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload0.5 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Charlie Woerner
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.5
Sleeper0.5
FantasyPros—
Charlie Woerner faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.7
FantasyPros—
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
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