THE ALTERNATIVE
Charlie Woerner
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ0.8FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Charlie Woerner or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Payne Durham
Week 7 ยท PPR
Payne Durham receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -6.25%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ1.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Woerner
FF0.8 FP
Boosted Trees1.8 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.8 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF1.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.0 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Woerner
Fortified0.8
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.8
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Woerner faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Payne Durham
Fortified1.1
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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Scoring & lineup notes
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