Should I start Payne Durham or Sam LaPorta this week? (PPR Week 10 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Sam LaPorta

Payne Durham is on bye in Week 10 and projects for 0.0 FP. Sam LaPorta has a scheduled game and projects for 10.5 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

Sam LaPorta: 5.5 FP recent scoring average.
Sam LaPorta: 2.5% matchup reduction against NE.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Sam LaPorta

TE · DETStats & schedule

10.5FF projected

↓ -0.9 vs ESPN

vs NE

Sun 9:30 AM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Payne Durham

TE · TBStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

BYE

Check bye / schedule

Why this pick?

Sam LaPorta

FF projection: 10.5 FP -0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 11.4 FP
Sleeper: 11.9 FP
FantasyPros: 11.7 FP

Sam LaPorta faces NE in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 5.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.

Payne Durham

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
FantasyPros: 0.0 FP

Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. BYE

Payne Durham is on bye in Week 10 and projects for 0.0 FP. Sam LaPorta has a scheduled game and projects for 10.5 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros live refresh is unavailable. Stored same-week projections are used (oldest provider fetch Nov 14, 2026, 1:01 PM ET).

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.116.8

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.4Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 15.2
16.8Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.3Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 16.1
16.2Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.1Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 15.7
15.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.