Should I start Isaiah Likely or Trey McBride this week? (PPR Week 10 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Trey McBride

+1.5 projected edge · PPR

Start Trey McBride over Isaiah Likely for Week 10 PPR: 15.7 projected points versus 14.2.

Trey McBride: 19.9 FP recent scoring average.
Trey McBride: 1.25% matchup reduction against LAR.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:17 AM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Trey McBride

TE · ARIStats & schedule

15.7FF projected

↑ +1.6 vs ESPN

vs LAR

Sun 4:05 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYGStats & schedule

14.2FF projected

↑ +1.8 vs ESPN

vs WAS

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Why this pick?

Trey McBride

FF projection: 15.7 FP +1.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.1 FP
Sleeper: 15.0 FP
FantasyPros: 15.7 FP

Trey McBride faces LAR in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 19.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.

Isaiah Likely

FF projection: 14.2 FP +1.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 12.4 FP
Sleeper: 12.5 FP
FantasyPros: 13.0 FP

Isaiah Likely faces WAS in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 9.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.

Trey McBride projects for 15.7 points in PPR scoring, 1.5 more than Isaiah Likely. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:17 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.116.9

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.4Sleeper 16.3FantasyPros 15.1
16.9Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.3Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 15.8
16.3Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.1Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 15.7
15.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.