Should I start Darren Waller or Tyler Warren this week? (PPR Week 10 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Tyler Warren

+2.6 projected edge · PPR

Start Tyler Warren over Darren Waller for Week 10 PPR: 12.1 projected points versus 9.5.

Tyler Warren: 7.1 FP recent scoring average.
Tyler Warren: 6.25% matchup lift against MIA.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:48 AM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Tyler Warren

TE · INDStats & schedule

12.1FF projected

↑ +1.5 vs ESPN

vs MIA

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Darren Waller

TE · CARStats & schedule

9.5FF projected

↑ +1.0 vs ESPN

at NO

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Tyler Warren

FF projection: 12.1 FP +1.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.6 FP
Sleeper: 12.3 FP
FantasyPros: 12.5 FP

Tyler Warren faces MIA in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 7.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.

Darren Waller

FF projection: 9.5 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.4 FP
FantasyPros: 8.3 FP

Darren Waller faces NO in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 12.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.

Tyler Warren projects for 12.1 points in PPR scoring, 2.6 more than Darren Waller. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:48 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.116.9

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.4Sleeper 16.3FantasyPros 15.1
16.9Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.3Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 15.8
16.3Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.1Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 15.7
15.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.