
Should I start Arizona Cardinals or New York Jets this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Arizona Cardinals
+1.4 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Arizona Cardinals over New York Jets for Week 9 PPR: 4.3 projected points versus 3.0.
- Arizona Cardinals: 3.75% matchup lift against SEA.
- New York Jets: 7.5% matchup reduction against KC.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

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New York Jets
DST ยท NYJStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Arizona Cardinals
- FF projection
- 4.3 FP +0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 3.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 3.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.1 FP
Arizona Cardinals faces SEA in Week 9. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
New York Jets
- FF projection
- 3.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.5 FP
New York Jets faces KC in Week 9. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
D/ST. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Houston TexansD/ST ยท HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableFantasyPros 8.010.1Expected FP - 2
Seattle SeahawksD/ST ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 7.58.9Expected FP - 3
Jacksonville JaguarsD/ST ยท JAC vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETLockedP10 -1.5P90 19.0Median 7.5Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 7.17.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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Denver Broncos7.0projected FP
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