
Should I start Detroit Lions or New Orleans Saints this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: New Orleans Saints
Week 9 ยท PPR
New Orleans Saints has the higher current FF forecast: 7.4 FP versus 7.2 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



New Orleans Saints
DST ยท NOStats & schedule โบDetroit Lions
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
New Orleans Saints
- The CLE defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions faces MIA in Week 9. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints faces CLE in Week 9. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Donโt just win Sunday.
Win whatโs next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
What the video shows
An example roster is shown in a weekly usage grid. A proposed plan changes the lineup week by week, then compares projected weekly and playoff points before and after the plan. The example totals illustrate the tool; they are not a promise of gains for your team.
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
D/ST. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Seattle SeahawksD/ST ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 7.69.1Expected FP - 2
Houston TexansD/ST ยท HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.5FantasyPros 8.08.9Expected FP - 3
Jacksonville JaguarsD/ST ยท JAC vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETP10 -1.5P90 19.0Median 7.5Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 7.17.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 9 decisions
New Orleans Saints7.4projected FP
Houston Texans8.9projected FP
New Orleans Saints7.4projected FP
Denver Broncos7.4projected FP
New Orleans Saints7.4projected FP
Jacksonville Jaguars7.8projected FP
New Orleans Saints7.4projected FP
Kansas City Chiefs6.8projected FP
Seattle Seahawks9.1projected FP
Houston Texans8.9projected FP
Houston Texans8.9projected FP
Jacksonville Jaguars7.8projected FP
Jacksonville Jaguars7.8projected FP
Denver Broncos7.4projected FP
Detroit Lions7.2projected FP
Kansas City Chiefs6.8projected FP
Kansas City Chiefs6.8projected FP
Dallas Cowboys6.5projected FP
Dallas Cowboys6.5projected FP
Chicago Bears6.5projected FP