
Should I start Mark Andrews or Nate Boerkircher this week? (Half-PPR Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Mark Andrews
+1.1 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Mark Andrews over Nate Boerkircher for Week 10 Half-PPR: 5.0 projected points versus 3.9.
- Mark Andrews: 3.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Mark Andrews: 7.5% matchup reduction against LAC.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Nate Boerkircher get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Nate Boerkircher
TE ยท JACStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Mark Andrews
- FF projection
- 5.0 FP -0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 5.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 7.5 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Mark Andrews faces LAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 3.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Nate Boerkircher
- FF projection
- 3.9 FP +0.8vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 3.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 2.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 2.6 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Nate Boerkircher faces TEN in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 8.3 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 11.913.4Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 12.913.4Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 12.012.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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