
Should I start Gunnar Helm or Mark Andrews this week? (Half-PPR Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Mark Andrews
Week 10 ยท Half-PPR
Mark Andrews has the higher current FF forecast: 5.2 FP versus 4.7 FP. The 0.5-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Mark Andrews: 3.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Mark Andrews: 7.5% matchup reduction against LAC.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Gunnar Helm get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Mark Andrews
TE ยท BALStats & schedule โบGunnar Helm
- Recent scoring average: 8.0 FP.
- The JAC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Mark Andrews
- Recent scoring average: 3.2 FP.
- The LAC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Gunnar Helm
- FF projection
- 4.7 FP +0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 4.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 3.4 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Gunnar Helm faces JAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 8.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Mark Andrews
- FF projection
- 5.2 FP -0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.4 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 7.5 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Mark Andrews faces LAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 3.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
George KittleTE ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 13.213.6Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 12.113.5Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 12.012.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Mark Andrews5.2projected FP
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Michael Mayer5.2projected FP
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Tommy Tremble4.9projected FP
Mark Andrews5.2projected FP
Brevyn Spann-Ford4.5projected FP
George Kittle13.6projected FP
Brock Bowers13.5projected FP
Brock Bowers13.5projected FP
Trey McBride12.5projected FP
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Isaiah Likely11.8projected FP
Isaiah Likely11.8projected FP
Travis Kelce9.8projected FP
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Tyler Warren9.3projected FP
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Sam LaPorta9.1projected FP