Should I start Keaton Mitchell or Ty Johnson this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Ty Johnson

Week 8 · Half-PPR

Recent scoring favors Ty Johnson: 6.5 versus 2.4 FP per game.

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:16 AM ET · Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Keaton Mitchell

RB · LACStats & schedule

4.4FF projected

↓ -0.4 vs ESPN

at LAR

Sun 4:05 PM ET

RESEARCH PICK

Ty Johnson

RB · BUFStats & schedule

4.8FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

vs BAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Keaton Mitchell

FF4.4 FP

Boosted Trees4.4 FP

Workload5.2 FP

Monte Carlo5.2 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.5–9.6 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 2.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 2.4 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 2.8 targets and 4.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Ladd McConkey, Brenen Thompson, Tre' Harris; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 carries per game.

Ty Johnson

FF4.8 FP

Boosted Trees4.7 FP

Workload5.6 FP

Monte Carlo5.6 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.6–10.9 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 6.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 6.5 FP.
The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 1.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include DJ Moore; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 carries per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Keaton Mitchell

Fortified4.4

ESPN4.8

Sleeper5.2

FantasyPros4.9

Keaton Mitchell faces LAR in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 2.4 fantasy points.

Ty Johnson

Fortified4.8

ESPN5.0

Sleeper4.6

FantasyPros4.8

Ty Johnson faces BAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 6.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Ty Johnson projects for 4.8 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.3 more than Keaton Mitchell. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice.

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:16 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.