Should I start Mike Washington Jr. or Ty Johnson this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Mike Washington Jr.

Week 8 · Half-PPR

Mike Washington Jr. averaged 6.3 carries per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.7 for Ty Johnson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Mike Washington Jr. receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -3.75%).

Forecast updated Oct 27, 2026, 11:30 PM ET · Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

Mike Washington Jr.

RB · LVStats & schedule

5.2FF projected

↓ -1.3 vs ESPN

at NYJ

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Ty Johnson

RB · BUFStats & schedule

4.8FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

vs BAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Mike Washington Jr.

FF5.2 FP

Boosted Trees4.5 FP

Workload6.3 FP

Monte Carlo6.3 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.8–12.1 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 3.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 3.2 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 8.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Dont'e Thornton Jr., Jack Bech, Carter Runyon; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 6.3 carries per game.

Ty Johnson

FF4.8 FP

Boosted Trees4.7 FP

Workload5.6 FP

Monte Carlo5.6 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.6–10.9 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 6.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 6.5 FP.
The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 1.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include DJ Moore; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 carries per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Mike Washington Jr.

Fortified5.2

ESPN6.5

Sleeper5.3

FantasyPros5.2

Mike Washington Jr. faces NYJ in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 3.2 fantasy points.

Ty Johnson

Fortified4.8

ESPN5.0

Sleeper4.6

FantasyPros4.8

Ty Johnson faces BAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 6.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Mike Washington Jr. projects for 5.2 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.4 more than Ty Johnson. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice. FantasyPros refresh is rate-limited. Same-week cached projections are used (under one hour old; oldest update Oct 27, 2026, 11:10 PM ET).

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 11:30 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

SEE THE WHOLE SEASON

Don’t just win Sunday.
Win what’s next.

Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.

WEEK 8PLAYOFFS ♛

Build my Game Plan Your team. Your league’s rules.See an example GamePlan ↗

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.