
Should I start Keaton Mitchell or Ty Johnson this week? Week 8 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ty Johnson
Week 8 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Ty Johnson: 5.0 versus 1.6 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

3.7FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 4:05 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Ty Johnson
RB ยท BUFStats & schedule โบ3.7FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Keaton Mitchell
FF3.7 FP
Boosted Trees3.4 FP
Workload4.1 FP
Monte Carlo4.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.6 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.8 targets and 4.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Ladd McConkey, Brenen Thompson, Tre' Harris; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 carries per game.
Ty Johnson
FF3.7 FP
Boosted Trees3.3 FP
Workload4.4 FP
Monte Carlo4.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 5.0 FP.
- The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 1.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include DJ Moore; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 carries per game.
Keaton Mitchell
Fortified3.7
ESPN3.9
Sleeper4.6
FantasyPros4.2
Keaton Mitchell faces LAR in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 1.6 fantasy points.
Ty Johnson
Fortified3.7
ESPN3.8
Sleeper3.8
FantasyPros3.9
Ty Johnson faces BAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 5.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Your next decision
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Scoring & lineup notes
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