RESEARCH PICK
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Mitch Tinsley this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ian Thomas
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Ian Thomas: 3.9 versus 3.2 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs LARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Mitch Tinsley
WR ยท CINStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ +1.0 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Mitch Tinsley
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees-1.0 FP
Workload1.8 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Mitch Tinsley
Fortified1.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.9
FantasyProsโ
Mitch Tinsley faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.2 fantasy points.
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