THE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Will Kacmarek this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Will Kacmarek
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Will Kacmarek averaged 1.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Ian Thomas. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Will Kacmarek receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-5% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Will Kacmarek
TE ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ -0.3 vs ESPN
at NYJSun 1:00 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Will Kacmarek
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees1.8 FP
Workload1.3 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The NYJ defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Will Kacmarek
Fortified1.2
ESPN1.5
Sleeper1.0
FantasyProsโ
Will Kacmarek faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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