
Should I start Eric Saubert or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Eric Saubert
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Eric Saubert receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

1.2FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Eric Saubert
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees1.4 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carlo0.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Eric Saubert
Fortified1.2
ESPN1.1
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Eric Saubert faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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