RESEARCH PICK
Ian Thomas
TE · LVStats & schedule ›1.2FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Kameron Johnson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ian Thomas
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Ian Thomas averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.7 for Kameron Johnson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Ian Thomas: 3.9 versus 0.3 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs LARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Kameron Johnson
WR · TBStats & schedule ›1.1FF projected
↑ +0.4 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Kameron Johnson
FF1.1 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload0.9 FP
Monte Carlo1.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.3 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyPros—
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Kameron Johnson
Fortified1.1
ESPN0.8
Sleeper1.6
FantasyPros—
Kameron Johnson faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
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