THE ALTERNATIVE
Erick All Jr.
TE · CINStats & schedule ›2.6FF projected
↓ -0.9 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Erick All Jr. or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Erick All Jr.. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Noah Gray: 4.8 versus 2.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
at BALRESEARCH PICK
Noah Gray
TE · KCStats & schedule ›3.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Erick All Jr.
FF2.6 FP
Boosted Trees3.8 FP
Workload2.3 FP
Monte Carlo2.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF3.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.7 FP
Workload4.7 FP
Monte Carlo4.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Erick All Jr.
Fortified2.6
ESPN3.5
Sleeper1.5
FantasyPros—
Erick All Jr. faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points.
Noah Gray
Fortified3.1
ESPN3.0
Sleeper3.2
FantasyPros—
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
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