THE ALTERNATIVE
Eli Stowers
TE ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.8FF projected
โ -0.6 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start Eli Stowers or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ian Thomas
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Ian Thomas after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs DALRESEARCH PICK
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Eli Stowers
FF0.8 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Eli Stowers
Fortified0.8
ESPN1.4
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Eli Stowers faces DAL in Week 7.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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