THE ALTERNATIVE
Dameon Pierce
RB · PHIStats & schedule ›6.0FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start Dameon Pierce or Ted Hurst III this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ted Hurst III
Week 7 · Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Ted Hurst III after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs DALRESEARCH PICK
Ted Hurst III
WR · TBStats & schedule ›6.5FF projected
↓ -1.9 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Dameon Pierce
FF6.0 FP
Boosted Trees5.3 FP
Workload8.2 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.6 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 7.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 11.5 carries per game.
Ted Hurst III
FF6.5 FP
Boosted Trees8.7 FP
Workload6.2 FP
Monte Carlo6.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Dameon Pierce
Fortified6.0
ESPN5.8
Sleeper6.0
FantasyPros—
Dameon Pierce faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.6 fantasy points.
Ted Hurst III
Fortified6.5
ESPN8.4
Sleeper6.6
FantasyPros—
Ted Hurst III faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
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