THE ALTERNATIVE
Dameon Pierce
RB ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ5.2FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start Dameon Pierce or Ted Hurst III this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ted Hurst III
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Ted Hurst III after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DALRESEARCH PICK
Ted Hurst III
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.1FF projected
โ -1.8 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Dameon Pierce
FF5.2 FP
Boosted Trees4.6 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 7.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 11.5 carries per game.
Ted Hurst III
FF5.1 FP
Boosted Trees6.9 FP
Workload5.0 FP
Monte Carlo5.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Dameon Pierce
Fortified5.2
ESPN4.8
Sleeper5.7
FantasyProsโ
Dameon Pierce faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.1 fantasy points.
Ted Hurst III
Fortified5.1
ESPN6.8
Sleeper5.3
FantasyProsโ
Ted Hurst III faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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