THE ALTERNATIVE
Jahan Dotson
WR ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ6.5FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Jahan Dotson or Ted Hurst III this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ted Hurst III
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Ted Hurst III receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-2.5% versus -6.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Ted Hurst III
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ6.5FF projected
โ -1.9 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Jahan Dotson
FF6.5 FP
Boosted Trees8.0 FP
Workload6.5 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 11.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.8 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 11.7 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Ted Hurst III
FF6.5 FP
Boosted Trees8.7 FP
Workload6.2 FP
Monte Carlo6.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jahan Dotson
Fortified6.5
ESPN6.5
Sleeper4.7
FantasyProsโ
Jahan Dotson faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Ted Hurst III
Fortified6.5
ESPN8.4
Sleeper6.6
FantasyProsโ
Ted Hurst III faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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