
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Samaje Perine this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Dallas Goedert
+2.1 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Dallas Goedert over Samaje Perine for Week 9 Half-PPR: 7.5 projected points versus 5.4.
- Dallas Goedert: 7.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Samaje Perine: 5.0 FP recent scoring average; 3.75% matchup lift against ATL.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Samaje Perine
RB ยท CINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert faces NYG in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 7.2 fantasy points.
Samaje Perine
Samaje Perine faces ATL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 5.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Dallas Goedert and Samaje Perine?
Dallas Goedert holds a 2.1 FP projected edge over Samaje Perine. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Dallas Goedert higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert has a 7.5 FP forecast in Half-PPR against NYG. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.2 FP, putting this forecast 0.3 points above that average.
Samaje Perine
Samaje Perine has a 5.4 FP forecast in Half-PPR at ATL. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.0 FP, putting this forecast 0.4 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Dallas Goedert | Samaje Perine | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 6.7 FP | 5.4 FP | Dallas Goedert +1.3 |
| Sleeper | 7.8 FP | 5.7 FP | Dallas Goedert +2.2 |
| FantasyPros | 7.7 FP | 5.1 FP | Dallas Goedert +2.6 |
| Boosted Trees | 6.7 FP | 5.3 FP | Dallas Goedert +1.4 |
Before the first kickoff. Dallas Goedert: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Samaje Perine: Sun 9:30 AM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.725.1Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 21.2FantasyPros 20.021.1Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.620.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
More decisions involving your players
More Week 9 decisions
Dallas Goedert7.5projected FP
Kyle Pitts Sr.8.3projected FP
Dallas Goedert7.5projected FP
Dalton Kincaid7.6projected FP
Dallas Goedert7.5projected FP
Mason Taylor7.2projected FP
Dallas Goedert7.5projected FP
Greg Dulcich8.0projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Kyren Williams15.9projected FP
Omarion Hampton
Aaron Jones Sr.
Samaje Perine