THE ALTERNATIVE
Charlie Jones
WR · NYGStats & schedule ›1.0FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Charlie Jones or Isaiah Williams this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Isaiah Williams
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Isaiah Williams averaged 1.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Charlie Jones. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Isaiah Williams: 5.7 versus 1.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
at HOURESEARCH PICK
Isaiah Williams
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›1.4FF projected
↑ +0.7 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.3 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.9 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Isaiah Williams
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.5 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.7 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Charlie Jones
Fortified1.0
ESPN1.5
Sleeper0.4
FantasyPros—
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Isaiah Williams
Fortified1.4
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyPros—
Isaiah Williams faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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