RESEARCH PICK
Isaiah Williams
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.7 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Isaiah Williams or Lil'Jordan Humphrey this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Isaiah Williams
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Isaiah Williams averaged 1.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Lil'Jordan Humphrey. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Isaiah Williams: 5.7 versus 0.7 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs MIATHE ALTERNATIVE
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Isaiah Williams
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.5 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.7 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Isaiah Williams
Fortified1.4
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Isaiah Williams faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.2
Sleeper1.5
FantasyProsโ
Lil'Jordan Humphrey faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
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