
Should I start Charlie Jones or Isaiah Williams this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Isaiah Williams
Week 7 ยท Standard
Isaiah Williams averaged 1.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Charlie Jones. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Isaiah Williams: 5.2 versus 1.5 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

0.8FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Isaiah Williams
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +0.7 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF0.8 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Isaiah Williams
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.4 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.2 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Jones
Fortified0.8
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Isaiah Williams
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Isaiah Williams faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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