Should I start Bucky Irving or Woody Marks this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Bucky Irving

+2.3 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Bucky Irving over Woody Marks for Week 9 Half-PPR: 14.1 projected points versus 11.8.

Bucky Irving: 16.8 FP recent scoring average.
Bucky Irving: 7.5% matchup reduction against CHI.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 2026, 5:52 PM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Bucky Irving

RB · TBStats & schedule

14.1FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

at CHI

Sun 8:20 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Woody Marks

RB · HOUStats & schedule

11.8FF projected

↓ -1.7 vs ESPN

at LAC

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Why this pick?

Bucky Irving

FF projection: 14.1 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.3 FP
Sleeper: 16.1 FP
FantasyPros: 14.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 10.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Bucky Irving faces CHI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 16.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.

Woody Marks

FF projection: 11.8 FP -1.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 13.4 FP
Sleeper: 12.7 FP
FantasyPros: 13.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Woody Marks faces LAC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 8.8 fantasy points.

Bucky Irving projects for 14.1 points in half-PPR scoring, 2.3 more than Woody Marks. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 6, 2026, 5:52 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

19.325.1

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 25.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 24.2Sleeper 22.9FantasyPros 23.8
25.1Expected FP
2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.5Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 19.7
20.6Expected FP
3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.6Sleeper 21.1FantasyPros 19.3
20.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.