
Should I start Braelon Allen or Stefon Diggs this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Braelon Allen
+0.5 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Braelon Allen over Stefon Diggs for Week 9 Half-PPR: 10.3 projected points versus 9.7.
- Braelon Allen: 16.7 FP recent scoring average.
- Stefon Diggs: 12.3 FP recent scoring average; 1.25% matchup reduction against LAR.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR




Stefon Diggs
WR ยท WASStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen faces KC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 16.7 fantasy points.
Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs faces LAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 12.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Braelon Allen and Stefon Diggs?
Braelon Allen holds a 0.5 FP projected edge over Stefon Diggs. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Stefon Diggs higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen has a 10.3 FP forecast in Half-PPR at KC. His recorded recent scoring average is 16.7 FP, putting this forecast 6.4 points below that average.
Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs has a 9.7 FP forecast in Half-PPR against LAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.3 FP, putting this forecast 2.6 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Braelon Allen | Stefon Diggs | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 8.1 FP | 9.9 FP | Stefon Diggs +1.8 |
| Sleeper | 9.4 FP | 9.9 FP | Stefon Diggs +0.5 |
| FantasyPros | 7.9 FP | 9.6 FP | Stefon Diggs +1.7 |
| Boosted Trees | 3.2 FP | 8.1 FP | Stefon Diggs +4.9 |
Before the first kickoff. Braelon Allen: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Stefon Diggs: Sun 1:00 PM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.725.1Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 21.2FantasyPros 20.021.1Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.620.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Braelon Allen10.3projected FP
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Rhamondre Stevenson10.3projected FP
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Tyler Allgeier10.3projected FP
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Rachaad White10.1projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
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Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
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Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
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Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
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Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Kyren Williams15.9projected FP
Stefon Diggs
Michael Wilson
Harold Fannin Jr.