
Should I start Braelon Allen or Stefon Diggs this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Braelon Allen
+1.4 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Braelon Allen over Stefon Diggs for Week 9 Standard: 9.2 projected points versus 7.8.
- Braelon Allen: 15.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Stefon Diggs: 10.1 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard




Stefon Diggs
WR ยท WASStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen faces KC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 15.0 fantasy points.
Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs faces LAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 10.1 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Braelon Allen and Stefon Diggs?
Braelon Allen holds a 1.4 FP projected edge over Stefon Diggs. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
The available estimates disagree: Sleeper leans toward Braelon Allen, while ESPN, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees lean toward Stefon Diggs. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen has a 9.2 FP forecast in Standard at KC. His recorded recent scoring average is 15.0 FP, putting this forecast 5.8 points below that average.
Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs has a 7.8 FP forecast in Standard against LAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.1 FP, putting this forecast 2.3 points below that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Braelon Allen | Stefon Diggs | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 7.3 FP | 7.5 FP | Stefon Diggs +0.3 |
| Sleeper | 8.3 FP | 7.9 FP | Braelon Allen +0.4 |
| FantasyPros | 7.1 FP | 7.4 FP | Stefon Diggs +0.3 |
| Boosted Trees | 2.1 FP | 6.8 FP | Stefon Diggs +4.7 |
Before the first kickoff. Braelon Allen: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Stefon Diggs: Sun 1:00 PM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Standard
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.8Sleeper 20.5FantasyPros 21.322.6Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 18.118.8Expected FP - 3
Jonathan TaylorRB ยท IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 15.5FantasyPros 16.518.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Braelon Allen9.2projected FP
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Kenneth Walker III18.8projected FP
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Jonathan Taylor18.3projected FP
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Christian McCaffrey17.9projected FP
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Bijan Robinson16.5projected FP
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Javonte Williams16.0projected FP
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James Cook III14.9projected FP
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Tre Tucker
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