
Should I start Braelon Allen or Ollie Gordon II this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Ollie Gordon II
+1.7 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Ollie Gordon II over Braelon Allen for Week 9 Half-PPR: 12.0 projected points versus 10.3.
- Braelon Allen: 16.7 FP recent scoring average.
- Ollie Gordon II: 11.8 FP recent scoring average; 6.25% matchup reduction against DET.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR




Braelon Allen
RB ยท NYJStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II faces DET in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 11.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen faces KC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 16.7 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Braelon Allen and Ollie Gordon II?
Ollie Gordon II holds a 1.7 FP projected edge over Braelon Allen. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Ollie Gordon II higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen has a 10.3 FP forecast in Half-PPR at KC. His recorded recent scoring average is 16.7 FP, putting this forecast 6.4 points below that average.
Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II has a 12.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR against DET. His recorded recent scoring average is 11.8 FP, putting this forecast 0.1 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Braelon Allen | Ollie Gordon II | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 8.1 FP | 15.6 FP | Ollie Gordon II +7.5 |
| Sleeper | 9.4 FP | 12.2 FP | Ollie Gordon II +2.8 |
| FantasyPros | 7.9 FP | 11.9 FP | Ollie Gordon II +4.0 |
| Boosted Trees | 3.2 FP | 12.8 FP | Ollie Gordon II +9.6 |
Before the first kickoff. Braelon Allen: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Ollie Gordon II: Sun 1:00 PM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.725.1Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.620.5Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 20.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.5Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 18.520.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Ollie Gordon II12.0projected FP
Bucky Irving14.1projected FP
Ollie Gordon II12.0projected FP
Cam Skattebo11.7projected FP
Ollie Gordon II12.0projected FP
Derrick Henry11.4projected FP
Ollie Gordon II12.0projected FP
Saquon Barkley12.8projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Kyren Williams15.9projected FP
Stefon Diggs
Braelon Allen
Rachaad White