
Should I start Braelon Allen or Dylan Sampson this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Braelon Allen
+2.4 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Braelon Allen over Dylan Sampson for Week 9 Half-PPR: 10.3 projected points versus 7.9.
- Braelon Allen: 16.7 FP recent scoring average.
- Dylan Sampson: 9.6 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR




Dylan Sampson
RB ยท CLEStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen faces KC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 16.7 fantasy points.
Dylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson faces NO in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.925.2Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 19.620.6Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 20.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.5Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 18.520.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Braelon Allen10.3projected FP
Ollie Gordon II12.0projected FP
Braelon Allen10.3projected FP
Rhamondre Stevenson10.3projected FP
Braelon Allen10.3projected FP
Tyler Allgeier10.3projected FP
Braelon Allen10.3projected FP
Rachaad White10.1projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.2projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.6projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.6projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Kyren Williams15.9projected FP
Omarion Hampton
Dylan Sampson
Harold Fannin Jr.