
Should I start Dylan Sampson or Omarion Hampton this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Dylan Sampson
Week 9 ยท Half-PPR
Dylan Sampson has the higher current FF forecast: 7.9 FP versus 7.6 FP. The 0.3-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Omarion Hampton
RB ยท LACStats & schedule โบDylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson faces NO in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton faces HOU in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Dylan Sampson and Omarion Hampton?
Dylan Sampson and Omarion Hampton are separated by 0.3 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Omarion Hampton higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Dylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson has a 7.9 FP forecast in Half-PPR at NO. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.6 FP, putting this forecast 1.7 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.
Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton has a 7.6 FP forecast in Half-PPR against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.8 FP, putting this forecast 2.8 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Dylan Sampson | Omarion Hampton | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 6.5 FP | 8.0 FP | Omarion Hampton +1.5 |
| Sleeper | 7.4 FP | 8.6 FP | Omarion Hampton +1.2 |
| FantasyPros | 6.7 FP | 8.6 FP | Omarion Hampton +1.9 |
| Boosted Trees | 5.1 FP | 6.7 FP | Omarion Hampton +1.6 |
Before the first kickoff. Dylan Sampson: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.725.1Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.620.5Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 20.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.5Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 18.520.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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More Week 9 decisions
Dylan Sampson7.9projected FP
David Montgomery9.3projected FP
Dylan Sampson7.9projected FP
Jordan Mason7.8projected FP
Dylan Sampson7.9projected FP
Jadarian Price8.3projected FP
Dylan Sampson7.9projected FP
Aaron Jones Sr.8.3projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Kyren Williams15.9projected FP
Dalton Kincaid
Omarion Hampton