RESEARCH PICK
AJ Dillon
RB ยท CARStats & schedule โบ2.3FF projected
โ -0.6 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start AJ Dillon or Josh Cuevas this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start AJ Dillon
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor AJ Dillon after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs TBTHE ALTERNATIVE
Josh Cuevas
TE ยท BALStats & schedule โบ2.0FF projected
โ +0.8 vs ESPN
vs CINSun 1:00 PM ET
AJ Dillon
FF2.3 FP
Boosted Trees2.4 FP
Workload2.7 FP
Monte Carlo2.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.2 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Josh Cuevas
FF2.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload2.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
AJ Dillon
Fortified2.3
ESPN3.0
Sleeper2.2
FantasyProsโ
AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Josh Cuevas
Fortified2.0
ESPN1.2
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Josh Cuevas faces CIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points.
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