RESEARCH PICK
AJ Dillon
RB · CARStats & schedule ›2.0FF projected
↓ -0.6 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start AJ Dillon or Josh Cuevas this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start AJ Dillon
Week 7 · Standard
The available paired forecasts favor AJ Dillon after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs TBTHE ALTERNATIVE
Josh Cuevas
TE · BALStats & schedule ›1.6FF projected
↑ +0.7 vs ESPN
vs CINSun 1:00 PM ET
AJ Dillon
FF2.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.9 FP
Workload2.4 FP
Monte Carlo2.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Josh Cuevas
FF1.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
AJ Dillon
Fortified2.0
ESPN2.6
Sleeper1.9
FantasyPros—
AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Josh Cuevas
Fortified1.6
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.8
FantasyPros—
Josh Cuevas faces CIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.3 fantasy points.
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