Fortified Fantasy

Week 102026 ยท QB ยท PICKUP COMPARISON

Who should I pick up: Patrick Mahomes II or Tyler Shough?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Patrick Mahomes II

If both are available and you need Week 10 points, pick up Patrick Mahomes II over Tyler Shough: 18.4 versus 18.3 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Nov 13, 8:54 PM ET ยท Common scoring preset

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE

Before you make the deal.

What could Patrick Mahomes II get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.

Browse deadline trades โ†—

TRADE MATCHUP

Choose a player

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Patrick Mahomes II is the stronger immediate points option. Tyler Shough is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a QB vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 18.4 Standard points against ATL this week. His recent scoring average is 16.0 FP. He is rostered in 92.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.10 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection
18.4 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN
17.5 FP
Sleeper
18.3 FP
FantasyPros
18.6 FP
Boosted Trees
18.0 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough projects for 18.3 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 16.8 FP. He is rostered in 70.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.39 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection
18.3 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN
17.5 FP
Sleeper
17.2 FP
FantasyPros
18.6 FP
Boosted Trees
17.9 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster data as of Nov 13, 8:30 PM ET / Nov 13, 8:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPNโ€™s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

FEATURED ยท YOUR NEXT MOVE

GamePlan.Fortify your season.Own the playoffs.

See your season unfold. Build stronger lineups, make smarter moves and plan your playoff push. Think weeks ahead while your league mates are still figuring out Sunday.

YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
Example free-agent list with highlighted pickup recommendations
#1 Week ยท #1 ROS ยท #1 Playoffs
#3 Playoffs
#3 Week
โ— Weekโ— ROSโ— PlayoffsFortifiedFantasy.com

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15โ€“18 are a calendar view; your leagueโ€™s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

WindowPatrick Mahomes IITyler Shough
Next 3 weeks57.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected51.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule166.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected148.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15โ€“1875.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected65.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected
Weekly pickup outlook
WeekPatrick Mahomes IITyler Shough
Week 1018.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection18.3 FPvs CAR
Week 1121.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection16.9 FPvs CHI
Week 1217.8 FPvs BUFHigher projection16.7 FPvs CIN
Week 1315.3 FPvs LAR15.4 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 1418.3 FPvs CINHigher projection16.5 FPvs CAR
Week 1519.0 FPvs NEHigher projection13.7 FPvs TB
Week 1616.5 FPvs SF20.9 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 1718.3 FPvs LACHigher projection16.6 FPvs ATL
Week 1821.8 FPvs LVHigher projection14.0 FPvs TB

Outlook updated Nov 13, 9:03 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 10

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

19.0 FP24.6 FP
  1. Josh AllenQB ยท 99.9% rostered
    24.6
  2. Drake MayeQB ยท 99.0% rostered
    24.4
  3. Brock PurdyQB ยท 98.9% rostered
    23.8
  4. Joe BurrowQB ยท 99.3% rostered
    22.2
  5. Trevor LawrenceQB ยท 94.6% rostered
    20.6
See full QB rankings โ†—

What about Patrick Mahomes II versus these pickups?

QB ยท Week 10
Matthew Stafford17.9projected FP
Patrick Mahomes II18.4projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Dak Prescott17.5projected FP
Patrick Mahomes II18.4projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Bryce Young18.9projected FP
Patrick Mahomes II18.4projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Patrick Mahomes II18.4projected FP
C.J. Stroud19.1projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—

More QB pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

QB ยท Week 10
Drake Maye24.4projected FP
Jared Goff17.3projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Dak Prescott17.5projected FP
Jared Goff17.3projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Brock Purdy23.8projected FP
Joe Burrow22.2projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Kirk Cousins15.1projected FP
Tyler Shough18.3projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
C.J. Stroud19.1projected FP
Kirk Cousins15.1projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
C.J. Stroud19.1projected FP
Tyler Shough18.3projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Dak Prescott17.5projected FP
Drake Maye24.4projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 10
Brock Purdy23.8projected FP
Trevor Lawrence20.6projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—

Your next pickup decision

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