Should I drop Nate Boerkircher for Noah Gray?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The longer-term call needs more data

The Week 9 estimates are Nate Boerkircher 2.9 and Noah Gray 3.0 FP. The remaining-week outlook is incomplete, so that weekly difference alone is not enough to recommend dropping Nate Boerkircher.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 11:50 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Nate Boerkircher

TE · JAC · vs BAL

Stats & schedule ›

2.9FF projected FP

Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

0.1%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Noah Gray

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

3.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

0.3%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Nate Boerkircher is 0.1% rostered; Noah Gray is 0.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Nate Boerkircher

Nate Boerkircher projects for 2.9 Standard points against BAL this week. His recent scoring average is 8.0 FP. He is rostered in 0.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 2.9 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 1.9 FP
Sleeper: 0.8 FP
FantasyPros: 1.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 1.8 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Noah Gray

Noah Gray projects for 3.0 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 5.7 FP. He is rostered in 0.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 3.0 FP +0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 2.3 FP
Sleeper: 2.6 FP
FantasyPros: 2.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 2.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 9:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Nate Boerkircher	Noah Gray
Next 3 weeks	5.7 FP2/3 scheduled games projected · partial	9.3 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	26.1 FP9/10 scheduled games projected · partial	30.7 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	11.8 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	12.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Nate Boerkircher	Noah Gray
Week 9	Unavailablevs BAL	3.0 FPvs NYJ
Week 10	2.9 FPvs TEN	3.0 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 11	2.8 FPvs NYG	3.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 12	3.0 FPvs TEN	3.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 13	2.8 FPvs CHI	2.8 FPvs LAR
Week 14	2.8 FPvs PIT	3.1 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 15	2.7 FPvs HOU	3.0 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 16	3.0 FPvs DALHigher projection	2.9 FPvs SF
Week 17	3.2 FPvs WASHigher projection	3.0 FPvs LAC
Week 18	2.9 FPvs IND	3.5 FPvs LVHigher projection