Should I drop Nate Boerkircher for Dalton Kincaid?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The longer-term call needs more data

The Week 9 estimates are Nate Boerkircher 2.9 and Dalton Kincaid 5.8 FP. The remaining-week outlook is incomplete, so that weekly difference alone is not enough to recommend dropping Nate Boerkircher.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Nate Boerkircher

TE · JAC · vs BAL

Stats & schedule ›

2.9FF projected FP

Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

0.1%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

5.8FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Nate Boerkircher is 0.1% rostered; Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Nate Boerkircher

Nate Boerkircher projects for 2.9 Standard points against BAL this week. His recent scoring average is 8.0 FP. He is rostered in 0.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 2.9 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 1.9 FP
Sleeper: 0.8 FP
FantasyPros: 1.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 1.8 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 5.8 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.2 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.8 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.2 FP
Sleeper: 5.9 FP
FantasyPros: 5.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 9:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Nate Boerkircher	Dalton Kincaid
Next 3 weeks	5.7 FP2/3 scheduled games projected · partial	20.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	26.1 FP9/10 scheduled games projected · partial	70.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	11.8 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	29.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Nate Boerkircher	Dalton Kincaid
Week 9	Unavailablevs BAL	5.8 FPvs MIN
Week 10	2.9 FPvs TEN	7.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 11	2.8 FPvs NYG	7.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 12	3.0 FPvs TEN	7.3 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 13	2.8 FPvs CHI	7.0 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 14	2.8 FPvs PIT	6.4 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 15	2.7 FPvs HOU	7.1 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 16	3.0 FPvs DAL	6.8 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 17	3.2 FPvs WAS	7.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 18	2.9 FPvs IND	7.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection