Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Dallas Goedert?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Dalton Kincaid

This week’s projections are 5.8 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 5.6 FP for Dallas Goedert. Dalton Kincaid retains a 21.4 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:04 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

5.8FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

5.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

80.8%rostered on ESPN-0.37 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; Dallas Goedert is 80.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 5.8 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.2 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.8 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.2 FP
Sleeper: 5.9 FP
FantasyPros: 5.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert projects for 5.6 Standard points against NYG this week. His recent scoring average is 4.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.37 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.6 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 4.4 FP
Sleeper: 6.3 FP
FantasyPros: 5.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	Dallas Goedert
Next 3 weeks	20.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	11.0 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	70.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	49.0 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	29.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	20.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	Dallas Goedert
Week 9	5.8 FPvs MINHigher projection	5.6 FPvs NYG
Week 10	7.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	7.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection	5.4 FPvs PIT
Week 12	7.3 FPvs KCHigher projection	5.9 FPvs DAL
Week 13	7.0 FPvs NEHigher projection	6.2 FPvs ARI
Week 14	6.4 FPvs GBHigher projection	5.7 FPvs IND
Week 15	7.1 FPvs CHIHigher projection	4.6 FPvs SEA
Week 16	6.8 FPvs DENHigher projection	5.3 FPvs HOU
Week 17	7.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection	5.1 FPvs SF
Week 18	7.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection	5.4 FPvs NYG