Should I drop Dallas Goedert for Chig Okonkwo?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 5.6 FP for Dallas Goedert and 4.9 FP for Chig Okonkwo. Chig Okonkwo is ahead by 3.6 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 0.1 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

5.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

80.8%rostered on ESPN-0.37 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Chig Okonkwo

TE · WAS · vs LAR

Stats & schedule ›

4.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

13.3%rostered on ESPN+0.16 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dallas Goedert is 80.8% rostered; Chig Okonkwo is 13.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert projects for 5.6 Standard points against NYG this week. His recent scoring average is 4.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.37 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.6 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 4.4 FP
Sleeper: 6.3 FP
FantasyPros: 5.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Chig Okonkwo

Chig Okonkwo projects for 4.9 Standard points against LAR this week. His recent scoring average is 4.0 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 13.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.16 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.9 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.5 FP
Sleeper: 4.8 FP
FantasyPros: 5.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 4.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dallas Goedert	Chig Okonkwo
Next 3 weeks	11.0 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	15.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	49.0 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	52.6 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	20.3 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	20.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dallas Goedert	Chig Okonkwo
Week 9	5.6 FPvs NYGHigher projection	4.9 FPvs LAR
Week 10	BYE	5.2 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 11	5.4 FPvs PIT	5.5 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 12	5.9 FPvs DAL	6.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 13	6.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection	5.7 FPvs TEN
Week 14	5.7 FPvs INDHigher projection	5.2 FPvs HOU
Week 15	4.6 FPvs SEA	5.3 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 16	5.3 FPvs HOUHigher projection	3.9 FPvs MIN
Week 17	5.1 FPvs SF	5.1 FPvs JAC
Week 18	5.4 FPvs NYG	5.9 FPvs DALHigher projection