Should I drop Dallas Goedert for Isaiah Likely?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Isaiah Likely for Dallas Goedert

Isaiah Likely leads by 2.5 FP this week. He leads by 36.6 FP across the remaining schedule and does not meaningfully trail in the Weeks 15–18 forecast total. The projected outlook supports the swap if your roster can spare Dallas Goedert. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 4, 2:33 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

5.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

82.7%rostered on ESPN-2.19 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

8.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

95.1%rostered on ESPN+0.45 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dallas Goedert is 82.7% rostered; Isaiah Likely is 95.1% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert projects for 5.5 Standard points against NYG this week. His recent scoring average is 4.7 FP. He is rostered in 82.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 2.19 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 5.5 FP
ESPN: 4.4 FP
Sleeper: 6.3 FP
FantasyPros: 5.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely projects for 8.0 Standard points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 9.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 95.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.45 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.0 FP
ESPN: 8.2 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 8.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.8 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 4, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dallas Goedert	Isaiah Likely
Next 3 weeks	10.9 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	26.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	48.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	85.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	20.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	35.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dallas Goedert	Isaiah Likely
Week 9	5.5 FPvs NYG	8.0 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 10	BYE	10.0 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 11	5.3 FPvs PIT	8.2 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 12	5.8 FPvs DAL	8.8 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 13	6.1 FPvs ARI	7.8 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 14	5.6 FPvs IND	7.0 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 15	4.5 FPvs SEA	8.0 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 16	5.2 FPvs HOU	10.1 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 17	5.0 FPvs SF	9.2 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 18	5.3 FPvs NYG	8.0 FPvs PHIHigher projection