Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Tyler Shough?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Tyler Shough for Michael Penix Jr.

This week’s projections are 15.7 FP for Michael Penix Jr. and 16.8 FP for Tyler Shough. Tyler Shough leads by 28.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 3:14 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

15.7FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

Planning a bid? Michael Penix Jr. FAAB guide ↗

15.7%rostered on ESPN-0.13 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs CLE

Stats & schedule ›

16.8FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

65.4%rostered on ESPN-0.22 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Michael Penix Jr. is 15.7% rostered; Tyler Shough is 65.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Michael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr. projects for 15.7 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 13.9 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 15.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.13 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 15.7 FP -0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 15.8 FP
Sleeper: 16.1 FP
FantasyPros: 16.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 14.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough projects for 16.8 Standard points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 20.4 FP. He is rostered in 65.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.22 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 16.8 FP +1.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 15.3 FP
Sleeper: 14.8 FP
FantasyPros: 16.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Michael Penix Jr.	Tyler Shough
Next 3 weeks	29.9 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	50.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	136.8 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	165.2 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	62.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	66.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Michael Penix Jr.	Tyler Shough
Week 9	15.7 FPvs CIN	16.8 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 10	14.3 FPvs KC	16.6 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	16.7 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 12	11.0 FPvs MIN	17.3 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 13	19.6 FPvs DETHigher projection	15.3 FPvs GB
Week 14	13.9 FPvs CLE	16.3 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 15	17.5 FPvs WASHigher projection	14.4 FPvs TB
Week 16	13.0 FPvs TB	21.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 17	17.0 FPvs NOHigher projection	15.8 FPvs ATL
Week 18	14.9 FPvs CARHigher projection	14.6 FPvs TB