Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Malik Willis?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 15.6 FP for Michael Penix Jr. and 19.1 FP for Malik Willis. Malik Willis is ahead by 25.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 0.5 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

15.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

Planning a bid? Michael Penix Jr. FAAB guide ↗

15.7%rostered on ESPN-0.13 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · vs DET

Stats & schedule ›

19.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Planning a bid? Malik Willis FAAB guide ↗

21.9%rostered on ESPN+2.27 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Michael Penix Jr. is 15.7% rostered; Malik Willis is 21.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Michael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr. projects for 15.6 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 13.9 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 15.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.13 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 15.6 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 15.8 FP
Sleeper: 16.1 FP
FantasyPros: 16.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 14.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Malik Willis

Malik Willis projects for 19.1 Standard points against DET this week. His recent scoring average is 20.3 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 21.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 2.27 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.1 FP +1.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 17.4 FP
Sleeper: 17.1 FP
FantasyPros: 17.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Michael Penix Jr.	Malik Willis
Next 3 weeks	29.9 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	52.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	136.8 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	162.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	62.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	61.8 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Michael Penix Jr.	Malik Willis
Week 9	15.6 FPvs CIN	19.1 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 10	14.3 FPvs KC	17.4 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	16.2 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 12	11.0 FPvs MIN	16.5 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 13	19.6 FPvs DETHigher projection	15.0 FPvs DEN
Week 14	13.9 FPvs CLE	16.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 15	17.5 FPvs WASHigher projection	14.5 FPvs GB
Week 16	13.0 FPvs TB	15.2 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 17	17.0 FPvs NOHigher projection	16.5 FPvs BUF
Week 18	14.9 FPvs CAR	15.7 FPvs NEHigher projection