Should I drop Geno Smith for Kyler Murray?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Check the pickup before making a move

Kyler Murray needs a current availability or game-status check. Do not drop Geno Smith on the strength of an unresolved projection.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

16.1FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

Check availability before adding

60.1%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered; Kyler Murray is 60.1% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray projects for 16.1 Standard points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 16.9 FP. He is rostered in 60.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. His injury designation makes this a conditional pickup; verify his status before committing. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.1 FP
ESPN: 17.6 FP
Sleeper: 16.3 FP
FantasyPros: 17.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Geno Smith	Kyler Murray
Next 3 weeks	43.3 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	43.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	136.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	159.7 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	61.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	70.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Geno Smith	Kyler Murray
Week 9	13.0 FPvs KC	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 10	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection	13.8 FPvs GB
Week 11	14.2 FPvs LACHigher projection	13.9 FPvs SF
Week 12	18.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection	14.7 FPvs ATL
Week 13	BYE	16.0 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 14	13.9 FPvs DEN	14.6 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 15	19.0 FPvs ARI	20.2 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	14.7 FPvs NE	18.8 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	11.9 FPvs MIN	15.8 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 18	15.7 FPvs BUF	15.9 FPvs CHIHigher projection