Should I drop Geno Smith for Matthew Stafford?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Check the pickup before making a move

Matthew Stafford needs a current availability or game-status check. Do not drop Geno Smith on the strength of an unresolved projection.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

19.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Check availability before adding

91.9%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered; Matthew Stafford is 91.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford projects for 19.1 Standard points against WAS this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 91.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. His injury designation makes this a conditional pickup; verify his status before committing. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.1 FP
ESPN: 16.9 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 18.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 17.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Geno Smith	Matthew Stafford
Next 3 weeks	43.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	39.2 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	136.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	141.2 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	61.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	58.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Geno Smith	Matthew Stafford
Week 9	13.0 FPvs KC	19.1 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 10	16.1 FPvs BUF	20.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 11	14.2 FPvs LACHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	18.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection	14.8 FPvs GB
Week 13	BYE	14.3 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 14	13.9 FPvs DEN	14.7 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 15	19.0 FPvs ARI	19.7 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 16	14.7 FPvs NEHigher projection	12.2 FPvs SEA
Week 17	11.9 FPvs MIN	13.8 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 18	15.7 FPvs BUFHigher projection	12.5 FPvs SEA