Should I drop Geno Smith for Justin Herbert?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Geno Smith

Geno Smith retains a 13.6 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs HOU

Stats & schedule ›

12.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

34.4%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered; Justin Herbert is 34.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert projects for 12.3 Standard points against HOU this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. He is rostered in 34.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.3 FP
ESPN: 12.5 FP
Sleeper: 13.3 FP
FantasyPros: 14.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.5 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Geno Smith	Justin Herbert
Next 3 weeks	43.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	37.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	136.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	123.1 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	61.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	48.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Geno Smith	Justin Herbert
Week 9	13.0 FPvs KCHigher projection	12.3 FPvs HOU
Week 10	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection	12.2 FPvs BAL
Week 11	14.2 FPvs LACHigher projection	13.1 FPvs NYJ
Week 12	18.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection	12.3 FPvs NE
Week 13	BYE	10.5 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 14	13.9 FPvs DEN	14.5 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 15	19.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection	11.6 FPvs SF
Week 16	14.7 FPvs NE	14.7 FPvs MIA
Week 17	11.9 FPvs MINHigher projection	11.0 FPvs KC
Week 18	15.7 FPvs BUFHigher projection	11.0 FPvs DEN