Should I drop Geno Smith for Caleb Williams?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Caleb Williams is ahead by 3.5 FP this week, ahead by 35.2 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 12.2 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs TB

Stats & schedule ›

16.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET

89.8%rostered on ESPN-0.01 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered; Caleb Williams is 89.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams projects for 16.5 Standard points against TB this week. His recent scoring average is 17.5 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 89.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.01 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.5 FP
ESPN: 16.4 FP
Sleeper: 15.5 FP
FantasyPros: 17.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Geno Smith	Caleb Williams
Next 3 weeks	43.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	36.3 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	136.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	171.9 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	61.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	73.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Geno Smith	Caleb Williams
Week 9	13.0 FPvs KC	16.5 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 10	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	14.2 FPvs LAC	19.8 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 12	18.1 FPvs MIA	22.9 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	17.2 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 14	13.9 FPvs DEN	21.8 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 15	19.0 FPvs ARI	19.3 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 16	14.7 FPvs NE	17.1 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 17	11.9 FPvs MIN	23.3 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 18	15.7 FPvs BUFHigher projection	13.9 FPvs MIN