Should I drop Geno Smith for Aaron Rodgers?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 15.6 FP for Geno Smith and 14.9 FP for Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Rodgers is ahead by 6.6 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 1.1 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 10:05 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

15.6FF projected FP

Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET

22.0%rostered on ESPN-0.56 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

14.9FF projected FP

Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET

Planning a bid? Aaron Rodgers FAAB guide ↗

34.9%rostered on ESPN+1.97 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Geno Smith is 22.0% rostered; Aaron Rodgers is 34.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 15.6 Standard points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 16.3 FP. He is rostered in 22.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.56 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 15.6 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.8 FP
Sleeper: 16.0 FP
FantasyPros: 15.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers projects for 14.9 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.0 FP. He is rostered in 34.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.97 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 14.9 FP +0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.8 FP
Sleeper: 17.2 FP
FantasyPros: 16.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 11, 9:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Geno Smith	Aaron Rodgers
Next 3 weeks	47.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	42.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	121.9 FP8/8 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	128.5 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	60.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	59.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Geno Smith	Aaron Rodgers
Week 10	15.6 FPvs BUFHigher projection	14.9 FPvs CIN
Week 11	15.5 FPvs LACHigher projection	14.2 FPvs PHI
Week 12	16.5 FPvs MIAHigher projection	13.5 FPvs DEN
Week 13	BYE	14.7 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 14	13.9 FPvs DENHigher projection	11.8 FPvs JAC
Week 15	18.5 FPvs ARIHigher projection	15.0 FPvs BAL
Week 16	15.9 FPvs NEHigher projection	14.5 FPvs CAR
Week 17	11.2 FPvs MIN	15.1 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 18	14.7 FPvs BUF	14.7 FPvs BAL