Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Trey McBride?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Ultra Smash: add Trey McBride for Dalton Kincaid

This week’s projections are 9.4 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 15.4 FP for Trey McBride. Trey McBride leads by 46.7 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 2:40 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

9.4FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Trey McBride

TE · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

15.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; Trey McBride is 99.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 9.4 PPR points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 14.7 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.4 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.6 FP
Sleeper: 9.5 FP
FantasyPros: 9.5 FP

Trey McBride

Trey McBride projects for 15.4 PPR points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 19.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 15.4 FP +1.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.3 FP
Sleeper: 15.3 FP
FantasyPros: 15.6 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	Trey McBride
Next 3 weeks	33.2 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	49.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	112.7 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	159.4 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	46.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	73.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	Trey McBride
Week 9	9.4 FPvs MIN	15.4 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 10	11.3 FPvs NYJ	16.6 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 11	12.5 FPvs MIA	17.6 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 12	11.7 FPvs KC	20.3 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 13	11.3 FPvs NE	15.8 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 14	10.2 FPvs GBHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	11.3 FPvs CHI	17.8 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 16	11.2 FPvs DEN	18.8 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 17	12.5 FPvs MIA	20.0 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 18	11.3 FPvs NYJ	17.1 FPvs SFHigher projection