Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Noah Gray?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Dalton Kincaid

This week’s projections are 9.4 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 4.9 FP for Noah Gray. Dalton Kincaid retains a 62.8 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

9.4FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Noah Gray

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

4.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

0.3%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; Noah Gray is 0.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 9.4 PPR points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 14.7 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.4 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.6 FP
Sleeper: 9.5 FP
FantasyPros: 9.5 FP

Noah Gray

Noah Gray projects for 4.9 PPR points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 8.4 FP. He is rostered in 0.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.9 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 3.9 FP
Sleeper: 4.3 FP
FantasyPros: 4.1 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 1:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	Noah Gray
Next 3 weeks	33.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	14.9 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	112.7 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	49.9 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	46.3 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	20.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	Noah Gray
Week 9	9.4 FPvs MINHigher projection	4.9 FPvs NYJ
Week 10	11.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	4.9 FPvs ATL
Week 11	12.5 FPvs MIAHigher projection	5.2 FPvs ARI
Week 12	11.7 FPvs KCHigher projection	5.0 FPvs BUF
Week 13	11.3 FPvs NEHigher projection	4.7 FPvs LAR
Week 14	10.2 FPvs GBHigher projection	5.1 FPvs CIN
Week 15	11.3 FPvs CHIHigher projection	5.0 FPvs NE
Week 16	11.2 FPvs DENHigher projection	4.9 FPvs SF
Week 17	12.5 FPvs MIAHigher projection	4.8 FPvs LAC
Week 18	11.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	5.5 FPvs LV